机器翻译,已尽力保留原意与数字
内容摘要
在沙特—美国投资论坛的舞台上,马斯克阐述了他对一个由“数百亿”个人形机器人、自动驾驶车辆、人工智能和充裕能源所改变的世界的愿景。
On stage at the Saudi-US Investment Forum, Musk lays out his vision of a world transformed by "tens of billions" of humanoid robots, autonomous vehicles, AI and abundant energy.
中文实录Transcript
16 个段落
第 1 段
在沙特阿拉伯发表讲话。>> 请坐。>> 现在。>> 我相信,对于埃隆·马斯克来到沙特阿拉伯,我们能用比这更热烈的方式欢迎他。对,就是这样。这才对。谢谢你,埃隆。我的挚友,我们很荣幸迎来特朗普总统。
第 2 段
我们很荣幸能在殿下的赞助和指导下,庆祝一段已有92年历史的美国、沙特以及沙特—美国关系,探讨我们如何从石油型经济转向创新型经济,由卓越的技术提供动力,而您无疑是这个行业的先驱之一。我们刚刚向殿下展示了你们的一些 Optimus 机器人。是的,也向特朗普总统展示了。我们来谈谈这个。
第 3 段
跟我讲讲它们。>> 是的。所以我们。刚刚展示了。>> 几台。>> 我们的 Tesla Optimus 机器人给殿下和特朗普总统。我认为他们印象非常深刻。>> 事实上。>> 我们的一台机器人跳了特朗普舞,我觉得相当酷。>> YMCA。对。>> 对,跟着《YMCA》跳。所以,是的,机器人会跳舞。它们能四处走动,能够互动。我认为我们正走向一个截然不同的世界。
第 4 段
我认为这,我认为是一个美好的世界,一个有趣的世界。实际上,我对人形机器人的预测是,它们最终将达到数百亿个。我认为每个人都会想拥有自己的私人机器人。你可以这样想,就好像你拥有自己的私人 C-3PO 或 R2-D2,或者。但甚至更好,那么谁会不想拥有自己的私人 C-3PO?R2-D2?那会非常棒。
第 5 段
而且我还认为,它,它会释放出极其巨大的经济潜力,因为当你思考,比如,一个经济体的产出是什么时,它就是人均生产率乘以人口,或者人均。一旦你拥有人形机器人,实际的经济产出潜力就会非常巨大。它实际上是无限的。我们可能会拥有一个规模相当于当前全球经济10倍的经济体,在那里没有人会缺少任何东西。
第 6 段
你知道,有时人们在谈论 AI 时会谈到全民基本收入。我认为实际上将会是全民高收入,任何人都能获得他们想要的任何商品或服务。你知道,要说我推荐的一本科幻书,我认为对 AI 未来最出色的构想可能是伊恩·班克斯的“文化”系列。非常推荐,它展现了一种反乌托邦式的未来图景。
第 7 段
你知道,显然确实存在一些风险,你知道,这些风险或许说明,如果我们没有把这件事做对,你知道,就可能出现一部詹姆斯·卡梅隆式的电影,你知道,《终结者》。我们不想要那一种。但,但是,拥有一种《星际迷航》式的未来会很棒。在那里,我们走出去探索群星,发现宇宙的本质,并且拥有一种我们目前还无法完全想象的繁荣程度,以及希望能有的幸福程度。
第 8 段
所以我对未来感到非常兴奋,也很高兴来到这里。谢谢你们邀请我。>> 这是我们莫大的荣幸。殿下刚才正和你谈到他的愿景和梦想,要提高沙特阿拉伯王国的生产率,并通过机器人技术为本地区乃至全世界增强动力,同时也谈到了自动驾驶出租车。那么我们的自动驾驶出租车进展如何?>> 是的。
第 9 段
所以实际上,你可以把汽车或未来的汽车看作4个轮子上的机器人。而且,你知道,我认为,如果王国这里能有自动驾驶汽车,那会非常令人兴奋。确实如此,如果你们愿意的话。>> 这是埃隆·马斯克在这里亲口说的。他要把他的自动驾驶出租车带到王国。是的。他还有另一项声明,他。>> 是的,正是如此。所以。我还想感谢王国批准星链用于海事和航空用途。
第 10 段
>> 谢谢,海事和航空。好了。好了。>> 所以,是的。>> 那么,你会给我们带来机器人,帮助我们提高生产率吗?是的。带来自动驾驶出租车,确保我们的汽车和资产转变,转变为创收单元。是的。还有星链,星链,用来改革我们的航空和海事。是的。谈谈 xAI。>> 当然。不过我还想提一下,另一件可能值得考虑的事情是隧道。
第 11 段
隧道。>> The Boring Company。>> 我有一家名为 The Boring Company 的公司,这个名字听起来有点无聊,但它确实是在钻挖隧道,而且实际上,要用隧道解决交通问题,你确实需要让道路走向3D。利用隧道,你基本上可以创造出类似,类似虫洞的东西,类似一条从城市一处通往另一处的曲速隧道,并缓解交通拥堵。
第 12 段
而且实际上,我们已经在拉斯维加斯完成了这项概念验证。所以拉斯维加斯有一些正在运行的隧道,你可以使用,它会让人感觉就像从拉斯维加斯的一处瞬移到另一处。所以我总是说,你知道,我的笑话是,隧道没有得到应有的重视,你知道吗?你知道,这个笑话有点,并不总是受欢迎,不过。所以。是的。然后 I 只是在尝试解决通用人工智能。
第 13 段
xAI 的目标是打造一个最大限度追求真相的 AI。为了理解宇宙,拥有最大限度追求真相的 AI 非常重要。所以 xAI 的目标是理解宇宙,理解,你知道,你知道,外面有什么。宇宙正走向哪里?它从何而来?什么问题?事实上,我认为或许最重要的是,有哪些问题是我们不知道该去问的?
第 14 段
比如,一旦你知道了问题,答案通常就是容易的部分。所以 xAI 的目标是帮助理解宇宙。而且。是的,那就是,那就是目标。当然,你知道,在这个过程中帮助人们回答任何问题。不过。我的意思是,那就是,那就是我的理念。我的理念是保持好奇,只是努力理解现实的本质。
第 15 段
>> 所以我知道你度过了漫长的一天,但尊敬的总统和殿下也即将登台。
第 16 段
所以,这是历史性的一天,这项伙伴关系关乎我们如何携手合作,正如过去92年里我们一直携手合作那样,建设一个基于要素的经济体,帮助世界为能源结构中的20%增强动力,这对当今的 AI 与智能时代、数字时代,以及我们如何改革并与智能时代一道,至关重要。而我们无法
Paragraph 1
speaking in Saudi Arabia. >> Please have a seat. >> Now. >> I'm sure we can do a better welcome than that to Elon Musk in Saudi Arabia. There you go. That's that's the spirit. Thank you Elon. My dear friend, we're honored to have President Trump.
Paragraph 2
We're honored under the sponsorship and guidance of His Royal Highness to celebrate a US, Saudi and a Saudi US relationship that is 92 years old, about how we move from an oil based economy to an innovation based economy, powered by wonderful technologies that definitely you're one of the pioneers in this industry. We just showed to His Royal Highness some of your Optimus robots. Yeah, and to President Trump. Let's talk about that.
Paragraph 3
Tell me about them. >> Yes. So we. Just showed. >> Several of. >> Our Tesla Optimus robots to His Highness and President Trump. And I think they were very impressed. >> In fact. >> One of our robots did the Trump dance, which I thought was pretty cool. >> The YMCA. Yeah. >> Yeah, to YMCA. So yeah, robots can dance. They can walk around, they can interact. I think we're headed to a radically different world.
Paragraph 4
I think it I think a good world, an interesting world. My prediction, actually, for humanoid robots is that ultimately they will be tens of billions. I think everyone will want to have their personal robot. You can think of it like, as though you had your own personal C-3po or R2-d2 or. But even better, then who wouldn't want to have their own personal C-3po? R2-d2? That would be pretty great.
Paragraph 5
And I also think it it unlocks an immense amount of economic potential, because when you think of like, what is the output of an economy, it is productivity per capita times population or capita. The once you have humanoid robots, the actual economic output potential is tremendous. It's really unlimited. Potentially we could have an economy ten times the size of the current global economy, where no one wants for anything.
Paragraph 6
You know, sometimes in AI they talk about universal basic income. I think it's actually going to be universal high income, where anyone can have any goods or services that they want. You know, as a science fiction book recommendation that I have, which I think is probably the best envisioning of an AI future is the culture books by Iain Banks. Very highly recommended for a dystopian view of the future.
Paragraph 7
You know, there obviously are some risks, you know, which illustrate perhaps the if we don't do this right, you know, you could have like a James Cameron sort of movie, you know, Terminator. We don't want that one. But but having sort of a Star Trek future would be great. Where we're out there exploring the stars, discovering the nature of the universe and, and a level of prosperity and hopefully happiness that we can't quite imagine yet.
Paragraph 8
So I'm very excited about the future and very glad to be here. Thank you for having me. >> It's our absolute pleasure. And His Royal Highness was talking to you about his vision and his dream to increase productivity for the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia and power up the region and the whole world with robotics, but also on robo taxis. So how are we doing on robo taxis? >> Yeah.
Paragraph 9
So really, you can think of a car or future cars as being robots on four wheels. And, you know, I think it would be very exciting to have autonomous vehicles here in the kingdom. Indeed, if you're amenable. >> You heard it here from Elon. He's bringing his robo taxi to the kingdom. Yes. He has another announcement that he. >> Yes, exactly. So. And I'd also like to thank the Kingdom for approving Starlink for maritime and aviation use.
Paragraph 10
>> Thank you, maritime and aviation. There you go. There you go. >> So yeah. >> So are you going to bring us robots to help us increase our productivity? Yeah. Robotaxis to make sure that our cars and assets turn to turn into a cash generating unit. Yeah. And Starlink Starlink to reform our aviation and maritime. Yeah. Talk about X. ai. >> Absolutely. And but I just wanted to mention also something that may be worth considering is tunnels.
Paragraph 11
Tunnels. >> The Boring Company. >> I have this company called The Boring Company, which sounds kind of boring, but it's it literally bores tunnels and actually tunnels in order to solve traffic, you really need to go 3D with roads. And by using tunnels, you can essentially create like like a wormhole, like a, like a warp tunnel from one part of a city to another and alleviate traffic.
Paragraph 12
And we've actually already done this proof of concept in Vegas. So they're working tunnels in Vegas, in Las Vegas that you can use where that'll just it feels like teleporting from one part of Vegas to another. So I always say that, you know, my joke is like tunnels are underappreciated, you know? You know, it's a bit of a not always a hit, but. So. Yeah. And then I is just trying to solve general purpose artificial intelligence.
Paragraph 13
The goal with XAI is to have a maximally truth seeking AI. And it's important to be maximally truth seeking AI in order to understand the universe. So the goal of XAI is understand the universe to understand you know, you know, what is out there. Where's the universe going? Where did it come from? What questions? In fact, I think maybe the biggest thing is what questions do we not know to ask?
Paragraph 14
Like, once you know the question, the answer is usually the easy part. So the goal of XAI is to help understand the universe. And. Yeah, that's that's the goal. And, you know, help people answer any questions along the way of course. But. I mean, that's that's my philosophy. My philosophy is one of curiosity, just trying to understand the nature of reality.
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>> So I know you had a long day, but we also have the honorable president and His Royal Highness hitting the stage soon.
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So this is a historic day, a partnership about how we could join hands together as we have joined hands in the past 92 years on building a factor based economy to help the world empower up 20% of the energy mix, which is very critical today to the AI and intelligence age, the digital age and how we have reformed and with the intelligent age. And we could not